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穆帅:非五大联赛球队如今不会赢欧冠,上次还是我带的波尔图(穆里尼奥称:五大联赛之外球队已难问鼎欧冠,上一次还是我执教的波尔图)

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Analyzing top finalists

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I'm considering outside top 5 finalists for major leagues in football. Some recent finalists include Tottenham in 2019 and Juventus in 2017. The claim about non-top 5 winners since 2004 seems largely true, with only Porto in 2004 breaking that trend. I'll organize my findings, noting that all winners since 2004 have come from England, Spain, Germany, or Italy. I'll also check with the user to see if they want fact-checking, context, or a debate.Assessing past champions

I’m analyzing non-top 5 champions, noting Porto's win in 2004 as a key example. Earlier exceptions include Porto in 1987, Crvena Zvezda in 1991, PSV in 1988, and Ajax in 1995. The statement about Porto being the last non-top 5 winner is accurate but could have nuances. I wonder if teams like Benfica, Ajax, or even Atalanta could challenge that narrative. I should also consider the effects of the Champions League format and financial disparities that affect transfer opportunities for breakout talents.Counting Champions League winners

![一色](/assets/images/2B176935.jpg)

I’m tallying Champions League winners since 2004: starting with Porto in 2004 and ending with Real Madrid's win in 2024. That gives us a clear trend: aside from Porto, all winners are from the top leagues, strongly supporting the idea that non-top 5 teams haven’t competed effectively recently. I’m considering including revenue disparity, noting that the Big 5 leagues account for over 75% of European football revenue. It might also be worth discussing recent non-top 5 winners in the Europa League to highlight exceptions.Reviewing recent European competition winners

I’m looking into various European competitions and their winners. Villarreal and Sevilla are both in La Liga's top 5. Porto won the Europa League in 2011, while Benfica reached the finals. As for the Conference League, I see that West Ham won in 2023 and Roma in 2022, but Olympiacos won the 2024 title, making them a non-top 5 team. However, the Champions League remains my main focus. I want to ensure I handle formatting lightly, possibly using bullets for clarity.Verifying non-top-5 winners

I’m gathering a quick verification on non-top 5 winners in the UCL era, specifically since 1992. Notable examples include Ajax in 1995 and Porto in 2004, with Marseille in 1993 being a top 5 team. Since then, all winners have been from big five leagues. The reasons for this include financial disparities, UEFA prize distribution, and changes in tournament formats. I could summarize potential non-top-5 contenders and offer to provide data on winners by league from 2004-2024. Keeping this concise with bullet points will help clarify these insights.

结论:这话基本属实。

  • 事实核对:欧冠改制以来(1992-),非五大联赛冠军只有两次:1995年阿贾克斯(荷甲)、2004年波尔图(葡超)。自波尔图之后至2024年,冠军清一色来自英西德意(加上更早的1993马赛是法甲,本就属五大)。
  • 2004-2024 冠军分布:西甲10次(皇马6、巴萨4)、英超6次、意甲2次、德甲2次、葡超1次(波尔图)。波尔图是这一段唯一的非五大。
  • 原因概览:
    • 资金差距:转播/商业收入、欧冠奖金分配让豪门阵容深度与板凳质量遥遥领先。
    • 人才虹吸:非五大联赛的核心球员在成名后往往迅速被五大豪门买走,难以维持巅峰周期。
    • 赛制与负荷:更多高强度比赛和两回合淘汰制放大阵容厚度优势;新增“瑞士制”阶段预计进一步利好强队稳定性。
    • 席位与种子:五大联赛更多直通名额与更高种子位,路径更稳。

ment

  • 现实展望:并非绝对不可能,但概率极低。若再现奇迹,最有希望的仍是葡超三强、荷甲双雄这类“次级豪门”,且需一代妖队+顺风签位+豪门动荡的组合拳。
  • 需要的话,我可以给你按赛季列出2004-2024全部冠军及联赛,或做一张可视化对比。